1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.991      0.993
## LDevsum      1.069      1.287
## dh0          0.995      1.002
## dh1          0.991      0.993
## dl0          1.753      3.736
## dl1          1.073      1.173
## dl2          1.359      2.310
## dl3          1.010      1.071
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.44

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.02       1.08
## dh0           1.01       1.03
## dh1           1.01       1.04
## dl0           1.83       3.78
## dl1           1.17       1.59
## dl2           1.54       2.86
## dl3           1.28       1.89
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.43

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum        1.01       1.06
## LDevsum       1.02       1.08
## dl0           1.83       3.78
## dl1           1.17       1.59
## dl2           1.54       2.86
## dl3           1.28       1.89
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.44

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results