Report for Model 8

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.991      0.993
## LDevsum      1.069      1.287
## dh0          0.995      1.002
## dh1          0.991      0.993
## dl0          1.753      3.736
## dl1          1.073      1.173
## dl2          1.359      2.310
## dl3          1.010      1.071
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.44

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1208.38464 22047.3052
DIC3 1158.03151 22117.1098
PWAIC 43.70643 233.9174
WAIC 1186.21420 22138.8429

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.02       1.08
## dh0           1.01       1.03
## dh1           1.01       1.04
## dl0           1.83       3.78
## dl1           1.17       1.59
## dl2           1.54       2.86
## dl3           1.28       1.89
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.43

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0a
DIC 1217.72113
DIC3 1156.58622
PWAIC 42.25389
WAIC 1182.76095

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum        1.01       1.06
## LDevsum       1.02       1.08
## dl0           1.83       3.78
## dl1           1.17       1.59
## dl2           1.54       2.86
## dl3           1.28       1.89
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.44

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L4
DIC 22047.1564
DIC3 22118.1291
PWAIC 236.0522
WAIC 22138.5873