1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 0.991 0.993
## LDevsum 1.069 1.287
## dh0 0.995 1.002
## dh1 0.991 0.993
## dl0 1.753 3.736
## dl1 1.073 1.173
## dl2 1.359 2.310
## dl3 1.010 1.071
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.44
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1208.38464 | 22047.3052 |
| DIC3 | 1158.03151 | 22117.1098 |
| PWAIC | 43.70643 | 233.9174 |
| WAIC | 1186.21420 | 22138.8429 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.01
## LDevsum 1.02 1.08
## dh0 1.01 1.03
## dh1 1.01 1.04
## dl0 1.83 3.78
## dl1 1.17 1.59
## dl2 1.54 2.86
## dl3 1.28 1.89
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.43
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H0a | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1217.72113 |
| DIC3 | 1156.58622 |
| PWAIC | 42.25389 |
| WAIC | 1182.76095 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 1.01 1.06
## LDevsum 1.02 1.08
## dl0 1.83 3.78
## dl1 1.17 1.59
## dl2 1.54 2.86
## dl3 1.28 1.89
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.44
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22047.1564 |
| DIC3 | 22118.1291 |
| PWAIC | 236.0522 |
| WAIC | 22138.5873 |